Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 02/10, 02:00
Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes
Team pages: Mutsumi Uemura · Ashleigh Simes
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
Ashleigh Simes
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
4-6 (W-L)
Ashleigh Simes
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1528 · Ashleigh Simes 1544
| Mutsumi Uemura | Ashleigh Simes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ashleigh Simes makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | Ashleigh Simes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11 | 10.8-7.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 63% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 60.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Eva Lopez W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Hikaru Sato W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Chihiro Muramatsu W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Hina Inoue W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Miyu Nakashima W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Onyu Choi W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Dabin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Ashleigh Simes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Yuhan Liu W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Belle Thompson W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Bianca Hristov UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Eva Lozitskaya UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/09 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Violet Apisah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Nikitha Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Laquisa Khan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs Ashleigh Simes?
Our model gives 58% to Mutsumi Uemura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.