Tennis · W100 Templeton · 01/10, 20:30
Prediction: Julieta Pareja vs Mary Stoiana
Team pages: Julieta Pareja · Mary Stoiana
Prediction summary
Winner
Julieta Pareja
Mary Stoiana
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Julieta Pareja
5-5 (W-L)
Mary Stoiana
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Julieta Pareja
0–1
Mary Stoiana
(1 last)
- 23 Jul0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julieta Pareja 1526 · Mary Stoiana 1553
| Julieta Pareja | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Julieta Pareja 0–1 Mary Stoiana (1).
- Note: Julieta Pareja makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Mary Stoiana makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Julieta Pareja | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.3 | 12-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Julieta Pareja 0 – 1 Mary Stoiana (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Julieta Pareja 0–1 Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/26 W100 Evansville | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julieta Pareja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Thea Frodin W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Iryna Shymanovich US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Kayla Day US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Xinyu Wang WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Heather Watson WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Mary Stoiana W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Mary Stoiana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Hanna Chang W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Dominika Salkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Claire Liu WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Julia Riera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Katie Swan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Harmony Tan US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julieta Pareja vs Mary Stoiana?
Our model gives 54% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

