Tennis · W100 Templeton · 02/10, 20:00
Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Malaika Rapolu
Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Malaika Rapolu
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatjana Maria
Malaika Rapolu
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria
7-3 (W-L)
Malaika Rapolu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1498 · Malaika Rapolu 1561
| Tatjana Maria | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1498 vs 1561).
Statistics
| Tatjana Maria | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.1 | 12.5-7.8 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatjana Maria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Lea Ma W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Taylor Townsend WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jelena Ostapenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Isabella Marton WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Malaika Rapolu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Carmen Andreea Herea W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Caroline Werner WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Katie Swan W50 Evora |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Malaika Rapolu?
Our model gives 57% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.