Tennis · W100 Templeton · 01/10, 19:00
Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Lea Ma
Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Lea Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatjana Maria
Lea Ma
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria
7-3 (W-L)
Lea Ma
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1503 · Lea Ma 1503
| Tatjana Maria | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tatjana Maria | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.1 | 10.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatjana Maria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Taylor Townsend WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jelena Ostapenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Isabella Marton WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Talia Gibson WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lea Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Victoria Hu W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Alana Smith WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Lizette Cabrera W75 Granby |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Haruka Kaji W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-1 | 12-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Lea Ma?
Our model gives 66% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.