Tennis · M25 Zaragoza · 01/10, 11:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Carboni vs Javier Barranco Cosano
Team pages: Lorenzo Carboni · Javier Barranco Cosano
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Carboni
Javier Barranco Cosano
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Carboni
6-4 (W-L)
Javier Barranco Cosano
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Carboni 1490 · Javier Barranco Cosano 1560
| Lorenzo Carboni | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Javier Barranco Cosano (rating 1490 vs 1560).
- Note: Javier Barranco Cosano makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Carboni | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.3 | 12.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 59% | 62.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Carboni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Noah Karma M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Nicolas Ulrich M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Javier Barranco Cosano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Oriol Font M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Elia Ruffino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Martin Krumich Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/08 | Andrej Martin Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 16/08 | Matyas Kozlovsky Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Michiel de Krom M25 Denia |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Pavel Petrov M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Carboni vs Javier Barranco Cosano?
Our model gives 62% to Javier Barranco Cosano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.