Tennis · M25 Zaragoza · 01/10, 14:00
Prediction: Xavi Palomar vs Miguel Damas
Team pages: Xavi Palomar · Miguel Damas
Prediction summary
Winner
Xavi Palomar
Miguel Damas
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Xavi Palomar
7-3 (W-L)
Miguel Damas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xavi Palomar 1536 · Miguel Damas 1487
| Xavi Palomar | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xavi Palomar (rating 1536 vs 1487).
Statistics
| Xavi Palomar | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.7 | 9.6-12 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xavi Palomar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Diego Esteban Torres M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/09 | Jaume Casas Blasi M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Noah Regas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Tristan McCormick M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Vicente Alcaraz Galbis M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Pavel Petrov M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Miguel Damas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 01/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 26/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xavi Palomar vs Miguel Damas?
Our model gives 66% to Miguel Damas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.