Tennis · M25 Zaragoza · 02/10, 15:00
Prediction: Alexander Ritschard vs Miguel Damas
Team pages: Alexander Ritschard · Miguel Damas
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Ritschard
Miguel Damas
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Ritschard
6-4 (W-L)
Miguel Damas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Ritschard 1579 · Miguel Damas 1512
| Alexander Ritschard | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Ritschard (rating 1579 vs 1512).
- Alexander Ritschard is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexander Ritschard | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9.2 | 10.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Ritschard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Samuel Arauzo Martinez M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Iannis Miletich M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
Miguel Damas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Xavi Palomar M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 01/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 26/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Ritschard vs Miguel Damas?
Our model gives 66% to Alexander Ritschard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.