Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 01/10, 11:00
Prediction: Harold Mayot vs Tristan Schoolkate
Team pages: Harold Mayot · Tristan Schoolkate
Prediction summary
Winner
Harold Mayot
Tristan Schoolkate
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Harold Mayot
8-2 (W-L)
Tristan Schoolkate
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Harold Mayot
1–2
Tristan Schoolkate
(3 last)
- 19 Sept2-0 12-6W
- 09 Jun1-2 16-17L
- 07 Aug0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harold Mayot 1582 · Tristan Schoolkate 1552
| Harold Mayot | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Harold Mayot 1–2 Tristan Schoolkate (3).
Statistics
| Harold Mayot | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.7 | 15-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 10.8 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 80.2% |
| Break % | 45% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
H2H · Harold Mayot 1 – 2 Tristan Schoolkate (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harold Mayot 1–2 Tristan Schoolkate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Challenger Rennes | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06/25 Challenger Ilkley | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/08/24 Challenger Lincoln | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harold Mayot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 20/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Tristan Schoolkate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Philip Henning Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 19/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 01/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 28/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Seong Chan Hong US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harold Mayot vs Tristan Schoolkate?
Our model gives 56% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.