Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 01/10, 11:00
Prediction: Felix Balshaw vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Team pages: Felix Balshaw · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Balshaw
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Balshaw
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Felix Balshaw
0–1
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
(1 last)
- 08 Sept0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Balshaw 1570 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1514
| Felix Balshaw | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Balshaw (rating 1570 vs 1514).
- Head-to-head: Felix Balshaw 0–1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (1).
- Note: Felix Balshaw makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Felix Balshaw | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12.1 | 12.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Felix Balshaw 0 – 1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Felix Balshaw 0–1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/26 Challenger Cassis | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Balshaw
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Gorzny ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Luca Pow ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Jie Cui Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maks Kasnikowski US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Balshaw vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model gives 51% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.