Tennis · M25 Kigali · 01/10, 10:00
Prediction: Caheer Warik vs Florent Bax
Team pages: Caheer Warik · Florent Bax
Prediction summary
Winner
Caheer Warik
Florent Bax
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Caheer Warik
3-7 (W-L)
Florent Bax
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caheer Warik 1443 · Florent Bax 1515
| Caheer Warik | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Florent Bax (rating 1443 vs 1515).
- Note: Caheer Warik makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Caheer Warik | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-11.1 | 11.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 10.8 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 77.5% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 33.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caheer Warik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Kael Shalin Shah M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/09 | Marko Topo M25 Zlatibor |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 16/09 | Ivan Biletic M25 Zlatibor |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Andrea Motta M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Stefan Kostic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Denis Klok M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Savva Rybkin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 7-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Razvan Baiant UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Florent Bax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Noah Schachter M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Thanh Minh Truong Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/09 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 04/09 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Ko Suzuki M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caheer Warik vs Florent Bax?
Our model gives 79% to Florent Bax, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.