Tennis · M25 Kigali · 09/10, 11:30
Prediction: Calvin Hemery vs Marlon Vankan
Team pages: Calvin Hemery · Marlon Vankan
Prediction summary
Winner
Calvin Hemery
Marlon Vankan
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Hemery
8-2 (W-L)
Marlon Vankan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calvin Hemery 1623 · Marlon Vankan 1510
| Calvin Hemery | Marlon Vankan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calvin Hemery (rating 1623 vs 1510).
- Calvin Hemery is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Calvin Hemery | Marlon Vankan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-9.3 | 10.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calvin Hemery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 07/10 | Niklas Grunewald M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Florent Bax M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Louis Van Herck M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Marlon Vankan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Noah Schachter M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Courtney John Lock M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 30/09 | Chetanna Amadike M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Jack Loge M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/08 | Erik Schiessl M15 Wels |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/07 | David Eichenseher M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Pieter De Lange M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Mathys Domenc M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calvin Hemery vs Marlon Vankan?
Our model gives 74% to Calvin Hemery, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.