Tennis · M25 Kigali · 08/10, 11:30
Prediction: Max Houkes vs Manuel Plunger
Team pages: Max Houkes · Manuel Plunger
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Houkes
Manuel Plunger
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes
8-2 (W-L)
Manuel Plunger
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1611 · Manuel Plunger 1558
| Max Houkes | Manuel Plunger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Houkes (rating 1611 vs 1558).
Statistics
| Max Houkes | Manuel Plunger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-6.1 | 10.6-7.4 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 70.9% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Houkes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Allan Gatoto M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Darrshan Suresh M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Mehdi Benchakroun M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Manuel Plunger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Corentin Denolly M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Blu Baker M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniel Lechner M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrej Martin M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Heorhii Shylov M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tim Vaisman M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs Manuel Plunger?
Our model gives 74% to Max Houkes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.