Tennis · M25 Kigali · 01/10, 10:00
Prediction: Rodrigo Alujas vs Calvin Hemery
Team pages: Rodrigo Alujas · Calvin Hemery
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Alujas
Calvin Hemery
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Alujas
4-6 (W-L)
Calvin Hemery
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Alujas 1506 · Calvin Hemery 1493
| Rodrigo Alujas | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rodrigo Alujas | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.6 | 12.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Alujas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Preston Brown M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Daniel Jade M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Damien Clerc M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Calvin Hemery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Louis Van Herck M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 10/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Eric Vanshelboim Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Cina ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Alujas vs Calvin Hemery?
Our model gives 70% to Calvin Hemery, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.