Tennis · M25 Kigali · 01/10, 10:00

Prediction: Max Houkes vs Allan Gatoto

Team pages: Max Houkes · Allan Gatoto

Prediction summary
Winner
81% 19%
Max Houkes Allan Gatoto
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes 9-1 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWWW
Allan Gatoto 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1631 · Allan Gatoto 1534
Max HoukesAllan Gatoto
Our model64%36%
Market94%6%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Houkes (rating 1631 vs 1534).
  • Max Houkes is in better form: 100% recent wins.

Statistics

Max HoukesAllan Gatoto
Win %100%60%
Win % · Clay 100% (9) –
Sets (G-P)2-0.11.4-0.9
Games (G-P)13-6.211.2-9.4
Aces30.3
Double faults1.81.9
1st serve %74.8%58.1%
Break %63.2%62.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Max Houkes

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Darrshan Suresh
M25 Kigali
2-0 12-3 W
13/09 Walid Ahouda
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Ioannis Xilas
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
11/09 Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
10/09 Mehdi Benchakroun
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
09/09 Diogo Morais
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
06/09 Karim Bennani
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-1 19-16 W
05/09 Jack Loge
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
04/09 Pierre Delage
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
03/09 Amine Jamji
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Allan Gatoto

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Lawrence Bataljin
M25 Kigali
2-0 12-7 W
15/08 Francky Martial Hoimian
Davis Cup
2-0 12-3 W
14/08 Seydina Andre
Davis Cup
2-0 14-11 W
13/07 Chirag Duhan
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
06/07 Ty Host
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 9-12 L
02/07 Orel Kimhi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/07 Laurence Teunissen
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 18-11 W
29/06 Arjun Mehrotra
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/05 Alec Beckley
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
21/05 Dylan Salton
M15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs Allan Gatoto?

Our model gives 81% to Max Houkes, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.