Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 01/10, 02:00
Prediction: Naho Sato vs Haruna Arakawa
Team pages: Naho Sato · Haruna Arakawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Naho Sato
Haruna Arakawa
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Naho Sato
6-4 (W-L)
Haruna Arakawa
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Naho Sato
2–1
Haruna Arakawa
(3 last)
- 26 Sept0-2 2-12L
- 23 Apr2-1 15-12W
- 13 Nov2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naho Sato 1568 · Haruna Arakawa 1493
| Naho Sato | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naho Sato (rating 1568 vs 1493).
- Head-to-head: Naho Sato 2–1 Haruna Arakawa (3).
Statistics
| Naho Sato | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-6.5 | 9.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Naho Sato 2 – 1 Haruna Arakawa (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naho Sato 2–1 Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/24 W50 Nanao | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/04/24 W100 Tokyo | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/11/23 W100 Takasaki | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naho Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Maiko Uchijima W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Yujin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Sae Noguchi W15 Yeongwol |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Onyu Choi W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Viktoria Morvayova W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Lingyou Ge W15 Tianjin |
1-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 12/08 | Victoria Allen W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Mio Mushika W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Rira Kosaka W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Hiromi Abe W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Luisa Schruff W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Ophelia Korpanec Davies W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naho Sato vs Haruna Arakawa?
Our model gives 74% to Naho Sato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.