Prediction: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Yuta Tomida
Team pages: Taiyo Yamanaka · Yuta Tomida
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Yamanaka
Yuta Tomida
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Yamanaka
4-6 (W-L)
Yuta Tomida
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taiyo Yamanaka
1–0
Yuta Tomida
(1 last)
- 02 Apr2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Yamanaka 1505 · Yuta Tomida 1599
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Yuta Tomida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuta Tomida (rating 1505 vs 1599).
- Yuta Tomida is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Taiyo Yamanaka 1–0 Yuta Tomida (1).
Statistics
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Yuta Tomida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.4 | 11.9-6.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 27.5% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Taiyo Yamanaka 1 – 0 Yuta Tomida (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taiyo Yamanaka 1–0 Yuta Tomida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/25 M15 Kashiwa | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Yamanaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nikita Ianin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 11/08 | Weiyi Kong M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Yuta Tomida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Xirui Han M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Jaesung Choe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Ryo Minakata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Yamanaka vs Yuta Tomida?
Our model gives 60% to Yuta Tomida, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.