Prediction: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Max Purcell
Team pages: Taiyo Yamanaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Yamanaka
Max Purcell
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Yamanaka
5-5 (W-L)
Max Purcell
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Yamanaka 1533 · Max Purcell 1567
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Max Purcell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Max Purcell dominates on serve: 6 aces and 42.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Max Purcell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.7 | 11.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 6 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 76.4% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Yamanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Yuta Tomida M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 30/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nikita Ianin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 11/08 | Weiyi Kong M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Max Purcell
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Zhao Zhao M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Blake Ellis Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Yamanaka vs Max Purcell?
Our model gives 74% to Max Purcell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.