Prediction: Ryuki Matsuda vs Reiya Komagata
Team pages: Ryuki Matsuda · Reiya Komagata
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryuki Matsuda
Reiya Komagata
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ryuki Matsuda
7-3 (W-L)
Reiya Komagata
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryuki Matsuda 1537 · Reiya Komagata 1511
| Ryuki Matsuda | Reiya Komagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ryuki Matsuda | Reiya Komagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-7.9 | 11.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Zichen Shao M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Minh Phat Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Yu Tanaka M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Yanki Erel M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Taisei Ichikawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Hyeon Chung M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Reiya Komagata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Shu Muto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Thomas Linley M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Jesse Flores M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Ryoma Cogan M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Ryuichiro Nakano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 27/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Shaoyun Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Vladimir Osminkin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryuki Matsuda vs Reiya Komagata?
Our model gives 71% to Ryuki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.