Tennis · W100 Templeton · 30/09, 20:30
Prediction: Ella Mcdonald vs Savannah Broadus
Team pages: Ella Mcdonald · Savannah Broadus
Prediction summary
Winner
Ella Mcdonald
Savannah Broadus
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ella Mcdonald
7-3 (W-L)
Savannah Broadus
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ella Mcdonald
1–0
Savannah Broadus
(1 last)
- 24 Sept2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ella Mcdonald 1563 · Savannah Broadus 1484
| Ella Mcdonald | Savannah Broadus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ella Mcdonald (rating 1563 vs 1484).
- Ella Mcdonald is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ella Mcdonald 1–0 Savannah Broadus (1).
- Note: Ella Mcdonald makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Ella Mcdonald | Savannah Broadus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8 | 9-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Ella Mcdonald 1 – 0 Savannah Broadus (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ella Mcdonald 1–0 Savannah Broadus
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/26 W50 Berkeley | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ella Mcdonald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Arina Bulatova W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Katherine Hui W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Kayla Day W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Madison Brengle W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Savannah Broadus W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Katherine Hui W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Emily Appleton W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Paula Cembranos W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Savannah Broadus
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Ella Mcdonald W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Martina Okalova W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Tyra Caterina Grant US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Elena Ecker W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Julia Zhu W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Rachael Smith W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ella Mcdonald vs Savannah Broadus?
Our model gives 56% to Ella Mcdonald, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.