Tennis · W100 Templeton · 30/09, 19:00
Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatjana Maria
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria
7-3 (W-L)
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1492 · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1607
| Tatjana Maria | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucciana Perez Alarcon (rating 1492 vs 1607).
Statistics
| Tatjana Maria | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.4 | 13-8.6 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 68% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatjana Maria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Taylor Townsend WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jelena Ostapenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Isabella Marton WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Talia Gibson WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Mayu Crossley W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Kelly Keller W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Emma Kamper W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Reina Goto W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Ena Koike W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Lorena Schaedel W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon?
Our model gives 59% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.