Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 30/09, 16:00
Prediction: Darwin Blanch vs Daniel Milavsky
Team pages: Darwin Blanch · Daniel Milavsky
Prediction summary
Winner
Darwin Blanch
Daniel Milavsky
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Darwin Blanch
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Milavsky
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darwin Blanch 1568 · Daniel Milavsky 1503
| Darwin Blanch | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darwin Blanch (rating 1568 vs 1503).
- Daniel Milavsky dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 40.7% break avg.
- Note: Darwin Blanch makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Daniel Milavsky makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Darwin Blanch | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.7 | 13.3-12.5 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darwin Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darwin Blanch vs Daniel Milavsky?
Our model gives 62% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.