Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 30/09, 20:30
Prediction: Lucas Poullain vs Remy Bertola
Team pages: Lucas Poullain · Remy Bertola
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Poullain
Remy Bertola
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Poullain
5-5 (W-L)
Remy Bertola
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Poullain 1529 · Remy Bertola 1475
| Lucas Poullain | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Poullain (rating 1529 vs 1475).
- Note: Remy Bertola makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Lucas Poullain | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.5 | 12.6-13.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Remy Bertola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Jerome Kym Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Andre Ilagan ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Poullain vs Remy Bertola?
Our model gives 51% to Remy Bertola, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.