Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 01/10, 16:00
Prediction: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil Ostapenkov
Team pages: Abedallah Shelbayh · Daniil Ostapenkov
Prediction summary
Winner
Abedallah Shelbayh
Daniil Ostapenkov
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Abedallah Shelbayh
4-6 (W-L)
Daniil Ostapenkov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Abedallah Shelbayh 1511 · Daniil Ostapenkov 1559
| Abedallah Shelbayh | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniil Ostapenkov (rating 1511 vs 1559).
- Note: Abedallah Shelbayh makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Daniil Ostapenkov makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Abedallah Shelbayh | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.4 | 11.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Li Tu Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Tyler Zink Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/08 | Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Ryan Seggerman ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Daniil Ostapenkov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Ilija Palavestra Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Gus Grumet Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil Ostapenkov?
Our model gives 58% to Abedallah Shelbayh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.