Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 01/10, 11:00
Prediction: Joel Schwaerzler vs Harry Wendelken
Team pages: Joel Schwaerzler · Harry Wendelken
Prediction summary
Winner
Joel Schwaerzler
Harry Wendelken
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Joel Schwaerzler
5-5 (W-L)
Harry Wendelken
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joel Schwaerzler 1510 · Harry Wendelken 1533
| Joel Schwaerzler | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Harry Wendelken makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Joel Schwaerzler | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.3 | 14.1-13.1 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joel Schwaerzler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Max Basing Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Gustavo Heide US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Harry Wendelken
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Filippo Romano Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Angel Veliz Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 28/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 26/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/08 | Stefano Travaglia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joel Schwaerzler vs Harry Wendelken?
Our model gives 54% to Harry Wendelken, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.