Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 29/09, 23:00
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs James Trotter
Team pages: Stefan Kozlov · James Trotter
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Kozlov
James Trotter
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Kozlov
4-6 (W-L)
James Trotter
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1418 · James Trotter 1565
| Stefan Kozlov | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Trotter (rating 1418 vs 1565).
- James Trotter dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 47.7% break avg.
- James Trotter is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.8 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-13.3 | 10.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 78.7% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Colton Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
James Trotter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Li Tu Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexander Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Federico Cina Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Liu Ziyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs James Trotter?
Our model gives 62% to James Trotter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.