Prediction: Shu Muto vs Reiya Komagata
Team pages: Shu Muto · Reiya Komagata
Prediction summary
Winner
Shu Muto
Reiya Komagata
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Shu Muto
4-6 (W-L)
Reiya Komagata
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Shu Muto
0–1
Reiya Komagata
(1 last)
- 18 Aug1-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shu Muto 1465 · Reiya Komagata 1495
| Shu Muto | Reiya Komagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Shu Muto 0–1 Reiya Komagata (1).
Statistics
| Shu Muto | Reiya Komagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.8 | 10.9-12 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 31.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Shu Muto 0 – 1 Reiya Komagata (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shu Muto 0–1 Reiya Komagata
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/26 M15 Maanshan | 1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shu Muto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Reiya Komagata M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Yuquan Jin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Reiya Komagata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Thomas Linley M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Jesse Flores M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Ryoma Cogan M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Ryuichiro Nakano M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 27/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Shaoyun Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Vladimir Osminkin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Stefan Storch M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shu Muto vs Reiya Komagata?
Our model gives 54% to Reiya Komagata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.