Tennis · M25 Zaragoza · 30/09, 11:00

Prediction: Leonid Sheyngezikht vs Miguel Damas

Team pages: Leonid Sheyngezikht · Miguel Damas

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Leonid Sheyngezikht Miguel Damas
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Leonid Sheyngezikht 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWLWLW
Miguel Damas 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWWL
Head-to-head
Leonid Sheyngezikht 0–2 Miguel Damas (2 last)
  • 01 May0-2 7-13L
  • 11 Oct1-2 15-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leonid Sheyngezikht 1537 · Miguel Damas 1477
Leonid SheyngezikhtMiguel Damas
Our model59%41%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leonid Sheyngezikht (rating 1537 vs 1477).
  • Head-to-head: Leonid Sheyngezikht 0–2 Miguel Damas (2).
  • Note: Leonid Sheyngezikht makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Leonid SheyngezikhtMiguel Damas
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.90.9-1.5
Games (G-P)11.3-9.510-13.3
Aces1.61.3
Double faults5.92.9
1st serve %68.3%56.1%
Break %52.5%38%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

H2H · Leonid Sheyngezikht 0 – 2 Miguel Damas (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leonid Sheyngezikht 0–2 Miguel Damas

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DateSetsGamesRes.
01/05/25
M25 Sabadell
0-27-13L
11/10/23
ITF M15 Vigo
1-215-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leonid Sheyngezikht

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Noah Regas
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
23/09 Kuzey Cekirge
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
1-2 9-16 L
22/09 David Naharro
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
18/09 Pietro Marino
M15 Melilla
0-2 12-14 L
17/09 Javier Munoz Fuster
M15 Melilla
2-0 12-4 W
16/09 Pierre Delage
M15 Melilla
2-1 12-12 W
31/08 Hugo Garcia Gomez
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
27/08 Antoni Fabre
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
26/08 Mihail Ivanov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
10/07 Matei Gavrea
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 10-16 L

Miguel Damas

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Hugo Dellien
Challenger Porto · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
03/09 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 17-17 W
01/09 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 15-16 W
26/08 Cezar Cretu
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
24/08 Marko Topo
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/08 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
26/07 Dimitris Sakellaridis
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 9-14 L
21/07 Mika Brunold
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
14/07 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/07 Thomas Faurel
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-1 16-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leonid Sheyngezikht vs Miguel Damas?

Our model gives 64% to Miguel Damas, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.