Tennis · M25 Zaragoza · 30/09, 11:00
Prediction: Cedric Stanke vs Ryan Nijboer
Team pages: Cedric Stanke · Ryan Nijboer
Prediction summary
Winner
Cedric Stanke
Ryan Nijboer
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Cedric Stanke
5-5 (W-L)
Ryan Nijboer
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cedric Stanke 1492 · Ryan Nijboer 1555
| Cedric Stanke | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1492 vs 1555).
- Ryan Nijboer is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Cedric Stanke | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.1 | 12.7-8.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cedric Stanke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Mario Martinez Serrano M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Yan Sabanin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Jose Murariu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Tim Hammes UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Noah Lopez UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Felix Romeo M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Axel Huysmans M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Ryan Nijboer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Alejandro Juan Mano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Iannis Miletich Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Sander Jong M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cedric Stanke vs Ryan Nijboer?
Our model gives 78% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.