Tennis · M25 Zaragoza · 30/09, 11:00
Prediction: Alejandro Moro Canas vs David Naharro
Team pages: Alejandro Moro Canas · David Naharro
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moro Canas
David Naharro
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moro Canas
5-5 (W-L)
David Naharro
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moro Canas 1547 · David Naharro 1506
| Alejandro Moro Canas | David Naharro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moro Canas (rating 1547 vs 1506).
Statistics
| Alejandro Moro Canas | David Naharro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11 | 10.4-8.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
David Naharro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Maximo Nagele M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Jan Kobierski M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Alvaro Jimenez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 21/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Benoit Torcq M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Jan Montero Diaz M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moro Canas vs David Naharro?
Our model gives 75% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.