Tennis · W35 Wagga Wagga · 30/09, 02:00
Prediction: Haruna Arakawa vs Rira Kosaka
Team pages: Haruna Arakawa · Rira Kosaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruna Arakawa
Rira Kosaka
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Haruna Arakawa
5-5 (W-L)
Rira Kosaka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruna Arakawa 1486 · Rira Kosaka 1514
| Haruna Arakawa | Rira Kosaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Rira Kosaka makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Haruna Arakawa | Rira Kosaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.1 | 9.7-10 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Hiromi Abe W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Luisa Schruff W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Ophelia Korpanec Davies W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Zeel Desai W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Rira Kosaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Remika Ohashi W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Natsuho Arakawa W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Kisa Yoshioka W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Hee Won Ju W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Eun Ji Lee W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Junhan Zhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Liuyan An W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Xin Tong Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruna Arakawa vs Rira Kosaka?
Our model gives 56% to Haruna Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.