Tennis · W100 Templeton · 29/09, 19:00
Prediction: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Kailey Evans
Team pages: Carmen Andreea Herea · Kailey Evans
Prediction summary
Winner
Carmen Andreea Herea
Kailey Evans
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carmen Andreea Herea
5-5 (W-L)
Kailey Evans
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carmen Andreea Herea 1478 · Kailey Evans 1578
| Carmen Andreea Herea | Kailey Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kailey Evans (rating 1478 vs 1578).
- Kailey Evans is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Carmen Andreea Herea makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Carmen Andreea Herea | Kailey Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.1 | 11.8-6.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 64.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carmen Andreea Herea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Allura Zamarripa W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/08 | Dana Guzman W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Kristina Penickova W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Astra Sharma W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Annika Penickova W35 Florence |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Tatum Evans W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Ilinca D Amariei WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Sara Victoria Balan W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 04/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Kailey Evans
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Alina Shcherbinina W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Hanna Chang W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Katja Wiersholm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Kiara Zabkova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/08 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carmen Andreea Herea vs Kailey Evans?
Our model gives 58% to Kailey Evans, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.