Tennis · W100 Templeton · 29/09, 19:00
Prediction: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Mayu Crossley
Team pages: Lucciana Perez Alarcon · Mayu Crossley
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Mayu Crossley
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
8-2 (W-L)
Mayu Crossley
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1589 · Mayu Crossley 1584
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Mayu Crossley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Mayu Crossley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.9 | 12.5-6.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Kelly Keller W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Emma Kamper W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Reina Goto W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Ena Koike W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Lorena Schaedel W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Melina Maria Maruca W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Mayu Crossley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Ana Grubor W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Emma Kamper W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Berrak Kocak UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/09 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/09 | Jenna Dean UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/09 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/08 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/08 | Chelsea Bluestein UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Mayu Crossley?
Our model gives 53% to Mayu Crossley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.