Tennis · M25 Kigali · 30/09, 10:00
Prediction: Axel Nefve vs Alec Beckley
Team pages: Axel Nefve · Alec Beckley
Prediction summary
Winner
Axel Nefve
Alec Beckley
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Axel Nefve
5-5 (W-L)
Alec Beckley
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Axel Nefve 1505 · Alec Beckley 1482
| Axel Nefve | Alec Beckley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Axel Nefve | Alec Beckley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.5 | 11.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Axel Nefve
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Joshua Peck M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Petrov M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Jerrid Gaines Jr M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Nathan Cox M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Alec Beckley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Gregor Hausberger M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Noel Larwig M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Jakub Kusy Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Dominik Palan Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Axel Nefve vs Alec Beckley?
Our model gives 53% to Alec Beckley, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.