Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 30/09, 11:00
Prediction: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Gauthier Onclin
Team pages: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg · Gauthier Onclin
Prediction summary
Winner
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Gauthier Onclin
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
8-2 (W-L)
Gauthier Onclin
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
0–4
Gauthier Onclin
(4 last)
- 11 Mar0-2 6-13L
- 29 Mar1-2 11-15L
- 14 Oct0-2 6-12L
- 08 Oct0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1586 · Gauthier Onclin 1505
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Gauthier Onclin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg (rating 1586 vs 1505).
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg dominates on serve: 8 aces and 54.5% break avg.
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0–4 Gauthier Onclin (4).
Statistics
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Gauthier Onclin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-9.5 | 10.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0 – 4 Gauthier Onclin (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0–4 Gauthier Onclin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Challenger Cherbourg | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/03/24 M25 Saint Dizier | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/10/22 ITF M25 Rodez | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10/22 M25 Nevers | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Mae Malige Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Gauthier Onclin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Dan Added Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Vitaliy Sachko US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Gauthier Onclin?
Our model gives 62% to Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.