Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 30/09, 18:30
Prediction: Braden Shick vs Mees Rottgering
Team pages: Braden Shick · Mees Rottgering
Prediction summary
Winner
Braden Shick
Mees Rottgering
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Braden Shick
4-6 (W-L)
Mees Rottgering
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Braden Shick
1–0
Mees Rottgering
(1 last)
- 16 Jan2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braden Shick 1531 · Mees Rottgering 1538
| Braden Shick | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Braden Shick 1–0 Mees Rottgering (1).
Statistics
| Braden Shick | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.8 | 11.1-8.8 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Braden Shick 1 – 0 Mees Rottgering (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Braden Shick 1–0 Mees Rottgering
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/26 M25 Winston-Salem | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braden Shick
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Clement Tabur US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Andy Andrade Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Mees Rottgering
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Edward Winter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Tomas Machac ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/08 | Hugo Grenier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Hunter Heck ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braden Shick vs Mees Rottgering?
Our model gives 54% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.