Tennis · W100 Templeton · 30/09, 19:00
Prediction: Hanna Chang vs Mary Stoiana
Team pages: Hanna Chang · Mary Stoiana
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanna Chang
Mary Stoiana
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Hanna Chang
5-5 (W-L)
Mary Stoiana
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hanna Chang
0–1
Mary Stoiana
(1 last)
- 16 Feb1-2 14-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanna Chang 1517 · Mary Stoiana 1546
| Hanna Chang | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hanna Chang 0–1 Mary Stoiana (1).
- Note: Hanna Chang makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Hanna Chang | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-8 | 11.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Hanna Chang 0 – 1 Mary Stoiana (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hanna Chang 0–1 Mary Stoiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/26 WTA Midland | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanna Chang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alina Shcherbinina W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Kailey Evans W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Landisville |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 04/08 | Dalayna Hewitt W100 Landisville |
1-1 | 6-4 | W |
| 31/07 | Ayana Akli W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Jantje Tilbuerger W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Evansville |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 21/07 | Ellie Myers W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mary Stoiana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Dominika Salkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Claire Liu WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Julia Riera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Alexandra Eala US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Katie Swan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Harmony Tan US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanna Chang vs Mary Stoiana?
Our model gives 70% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.