Tennis · W15 Monastir · 29/09, 10:30
Prediction: Ingrid C Millan vs Yuka Matsumoto
Team pages: Ingrid C Millan · Yuka Matsumoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Ingrid C Millan
Yuka Matsumoto
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ingrid C Millan
4-6 (W-L)
Yuka Matsumoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ingrid C Millan 1447 · Yuka Matsumoto 1546
| Ingrid C Millan | Yuka Matsumoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuka Matsumoto (rating 1447 vs 1546).
- Yuka Matsumoto is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ingrid C Millan makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Ingrid C Millan | Yuka Matsumoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.7 | 10.6-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 52.9% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ingrid C Millan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Miroslava Medvedeva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 13/09 | Lilian Poling UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Bella Pitchford UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Lily Pradkin UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Emery Combs W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Alexandra Vagramov W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jasmine Conway W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Yuka Matsumoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 23/09 | Nadine Hamrouni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Louanne Djafari W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Mio Mushika W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 07/09 | Anri Nagata W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Aishi Das W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Mayuka Aikawa W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ingrid C Millan vs Yuka Matsumoto?
Our model gives 68% to Yuka Matsumoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.