Tennis · W15 Monastir · 29/09, 12:00
Prediction: Kseniia Ruchkina vs Emira Diabate
Team pages: Kseniia Ruchkina · Emira Diabate
Prediction summary
Winner
Kseniia Ruchkina
Emira Diabate
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kseniia Ruchkina
5-5 (W-L)
Emira Diabate
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kseniia Ruchkina 1543 · Emira Diabate 1461
| Kseniia Ruchkina | Emira Diabate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kseniia Ruchkina (rating 1543 vs 1461).
- Note: Kseniia Ruchkina makes many double faults (6.6/match).
- Note: Emira Diabate makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Kseniia Ruchkina | Emira Diabate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.8 | 8.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 58% |
| Break % | 63.4% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kseniia Ruchkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Irem Kurt W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Tatsiana Sasnouskaya W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Arina Arifullina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 02/09 | Marine Szostak W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/12 | Jana Fett ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/11 | Nicole Gadient ITF W50 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/11 | Deborah Chiesa ITF W15 Solarino |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/11 | Angelica Sara ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Fiona Ganz ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Maria Toma ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Emira Diabate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Lois Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 08/09 | Francesca Parcelli W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Fanny Pire W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/09 | Isaure Bruscia W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Jahnie Van Zyl W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Gloriana Nahum Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Victoria Pohle W15 Hameenlinna |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alexandra Biot W15 Hameenlinna |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Rikke De Koning W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Kiara Cvetkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kseniia Ruchkina vs Emira Diabate?
Our model gives 73% to Kseniia Ruchkina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.