Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 29/09, 16:00
Prediction: Raphael Perot vs Daniil Ostapenkov
Team pages: Raphael Perot · Daniil Ostapenkov
Prediction summary
Winner
Raphael Perot
Daniil Ostapenkov
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Raphael Perot
5-5 (W-L)
Daniil Ostapenkov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raphael Perot 1558 · Daniil Ostapenkov 1555
| Raphael Perot | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Raphael Perot | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.3 | 11.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raphael Perot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Alex Knaff M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Liam Branger M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Julio Cesar Porras M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Daniil Ostapenkov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Ilija Palavestra Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Gus Grumet Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Yurii Dzhavakian Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raphael Perot vs Daniil Ostapenkov?
Our model gives 61% to Raphael Perot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.