Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 29/09, 12:30
Prediction: Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Team pages: Yanis Ghazouani Durand · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
0–1
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
(1 last)
- 10 Sept0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1553 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1494
| Yanis Ghazouani Durand | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1553 vs 1494).
- Head-to-head: Yanis Ghazouani Durand 0–1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (1).
- Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Yanis Ghazouani Durand | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.9 | 12.1-12.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 29.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 0 – 1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 0–1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 Challenger Cassis | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Emile Hudd Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Nikola Slavic Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Jie Cui Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maks Kasnikowski US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model gives 62% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.