Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 29/09, 12:30
Prediction: Filippo Romano vs Harry Wendelken
Team pages: Filippo Romano · Harry Wendelken
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Romano
Harry Wendelken
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Romano
3-7 (W-L)
Harry Wendelken
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Romano 1454 · Harry Wendelken 1503
| Filippo Romano | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harry Wendelken (rating 1454 vs 1503).
- Harry Wendelken is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Harry Wendelken makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Filippo Romano | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.2 | 13.5-13.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 68% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Romano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Harry Wendelken
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Angel Veliz Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 28/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 26/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/08 | Stefano Travaglia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Romano vs Harry Wendelken?
Our model gives 56% to Harry Wendelken, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.