Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 29/09, 14:00
Prediction: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Joel Schwaerzler
Team pages: Alberto Barroso Campos · Joel Schwaerzler
Prediction summary
Winner
Alberto Barroso Campos
Joel Schwaerzler
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alberto Barroso Campos
6-4 (W-L)
Joel Schwaerzler
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alberto Barroso Campos 1503 · Joel Schwaerzler 1497
| Alberto Barroso Campos | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alberto Barroso Campos | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.7 | 12.7-13.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alberto Barroso Campos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 06/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Bravo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 12/08 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Joel Schwaerzler
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Max Basing Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Gustavo Heide US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alberto Barroso Campos vs Joel Schwaerzler?
Our model gives 62% to Joel Schwaerzler, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.