Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 29/09, 14:00
Prediction: Alexandre Reco vs Remy Bertola
Team pages: Alexandre Reco · Remy Bertola
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandre Reco
Remy Bertola
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandre Reco
7-3 (W-L)
Remy Bertola
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandre Reco 1565 · Remy Bertola 1454
| Alexandre Reco | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandre Reco (rating 1565 vs 1454).
- Alexandre Reco is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Remy Bertola makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Alexandre Reco | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-8.9 | 11.7-14 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandre Reco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Etienne Donnet M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Damien Clerc M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Melvin Kumar M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Mae Malige M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Remy Bertola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 03/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Jerome Kym Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Andre Ilagan ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandre Reco vs Remy Bertola?
Our model gives 55% to Remy Bertola, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.