Tennis · W15 Monastir · 29/09, 13:30

Prediction: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Anastasia Bertacchi

Team pages: Marta Soriano Santiago · Anastasia Bertacchi

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Marta Soriano Santiago Anastasia Bertacchi
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Soriano Santiago 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWLWWWW
Anastasia Bertacchi 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marta Soriano Santiago 1531 · Anastasia Bertacchi 1419
Marta Soriano SantiagoAnastasia Bertacchi
Our model66%34%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Soriano Santiago (rating 1531 vs 1419).
  • Marta Soriano Santiago is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Marta Soriano Santiago makes many double faults (6.2/match).
  • Note: Anastasia Bertacchi makes many double faults (7.3/match).

Statistics

Marta Soriano SantiagoAnastasia Bertacchi
Win %60%20%
Win % · Hard – 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-10.8-1.7
Games (G-P)10.7-10.19.3-13.4
Aces0.60.4
Double faults6.27.3
1st serve %58.2%53%
Break %57.1%43.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marta Soriano Santiago

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/09 Sarah Iliev
W15 Dijon
1-2 10-14 L
10/09 Diana Marcinkevica
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-3 W
09/09 Ninon Carpentier
W15 Dijon
2-1 17-16 W
08/09 Victoria Pohle
W15 Dijon
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Jahnie Van Zyl
W15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 5-12 L
02/09 Iulia Maria Buculei
W15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 15-15 W
01/09 Lola Collin
W15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 12-4 W
19/08 Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
11/08 Teodora Miron
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/07 Selina Atay
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-5 W

Anastasia Bertacchi

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Ellie Daniels
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
22/09 Klara Blazkova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Tiphanie Lemaitre
W35 Verbier
0-2 0-12 L
18/08 Mara Guth
W35 Verbier
0-2 7-12 L
09/08 Ksenia Zaytseva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 10-17 L
04/08 Ustiniya Lekomtseva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 16-16 L
18/07 Raluca Georgiana Serban
WTA Palermo · Clay
1-2 11-17 L
15/07 Emma Lene
W35 Torino
0-2 1-12 L
10/07 Martyna Kubka
W35 Don Benito
0-2 6-13 L
09/07 Ann Akasha Ceuca
W35 Don Benito
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marta Soriano Santiago vs Anastasia Bertacchi?

Our model gives 57% to Marta Soriano Santiago, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.