Tennis · Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · 30/09, 10:00
Prediction: Harold Mayot vs Niels Visker
Team pages: Harold Mayot · Niels Visker
Prediction summary
Winner
Harold Mayot
Niels Visker
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Harold Mayot
8-2 (W-L)
Niels Visker
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harold Mayot 1594 · Niels Visker 1542
| Harold Mayot | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harold Mayot (rating 1594 vs 1542).
- Niels Visker dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 43.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Harold Mayot | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.5 | 12.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 79.3% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 20/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Niels Visker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Niels McDonald Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Tom Paris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Szymon Kielan Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Guilherme Valdoleiros Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Manuel Mazza Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harold Mayot vs Niels Visker?
Our model gives 66% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.