Tennis · M15 Luan · 29/09, 04:00

Prediction: Yua Taka vs Matthew Shearer

Team pages: Yua Taka · Matthew Shearer

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Yua Taka Matthew Shearer
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yua Taka 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLLL
Matthew Shearer 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yua Taka 1451 · Matthew Shearer 1493
Yua TakaMatthew Shearer
Our model44%56%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Shearer (rating 1451 vs 1493).

Statistics

Yua TakaMatthew Shearer
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) –
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.41.3-1.1
Games (G-P)8.8-1011.9-11
Aces1.84.7
Double faults2.33.1
1st serve %64.3%74.5%
Break %27.1%27.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yua Taka

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Jerry Roddick
M25 Sapporo
0-2 10-13 L
07/09 Kazushi Idogaki
M25 Sapporo
0-2 9-13 L
02/09 Naoki Nakagawa
M25 Urayasu
0-2 5-12 L
26/08 Chase Ferguson
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/08 Yue Xia
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/08 James Van Herzeele
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
16/07 Asahi Harazaki
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
15/07 Uisung Park
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Chen-Yu Lu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/06 Martin Borisiouk
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Matthew Shearer

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Shanghui Li
M25 Yinchuan
1-2 10-10 L
16/09 Zhenxiong Dong
M25 Guiyang
1-2 16-19 L
15/09 Yaoyu Yang
M25 Guiyang
2-0 12-6 W
09/09 Jack Bruce-Smith
M15 Bali
0-2 7-12 L
07/09 Kareem Abdul Hakim
M15 Bali
2-0 13-7 W
02/09 Stefan Storch
M15 Bali
1-2 12-15 L
31/08 Andras Necz
M15 Bali
2-1 13-11 W
30/08 Raphael Rio Suryana
M15 Bali
2-0 12-7 W
13/08 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin
0-2 11-14 L
12/08 Kai Thompson
M15 Tianjin
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yua Taka vs Matthew Shearer?

Our model gives 63% to Yua Taka, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.