Prediction: Nikolai Barsukov vs Taiyo Yamanaka
Team pages: Nikolai Barsukov · Taiyo Yamanaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikolai Barsukov
Taiyo Yamanaka
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nikolai Barsukov
5-5 (W-L)
Taiyo Yamanaka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolai Barsukov 1512 · Taiyo Yamanaka 1494
| Nikolai Barsukov | Taiyo Yamanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikolai Barsukov makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Nikolai Barsukov | Taiyo Yamanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.4 | 9.5-10 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 19.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Seonyong Han M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Yue Xia M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuquan Jin M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Christian Djonov M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Jakub Filip M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Taiyo Yamanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nikita Ianin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 11/08 | Weiyi Kong M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolai Barsukov vs Taiyo Yamanaka?
Our model gives 56% to Nikolai Barsukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.