Prediction: Kousuke Ogura vs Minghui Zhang
Team pages: Kousuke Ogura · Minghui Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Kousuke Ogura
Minghui Zhang
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Kousuke Ogura
2-8 (W-L)
Minghui Zhang
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kousuke Ogura 1482 · Minghui Zhang 1444
| Kousuke Ogura | Minghui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kousuke Ogura | Minghui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12.5 | 10.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Daisuke Sumizawa Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Seong Chan Hong M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Robin Catry M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Yanki Erel M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Omar Jasika M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Hiroki Moriya M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Omar Jasika M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Minghui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Zijiang Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 01/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Hao Sheng Koay M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Emiliano Jorquera M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kousuke Ogura vs Minghui Zhang?
Our model gives 69% to Kousuke Ogura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.