Tennis · M15 Baku · 30/09, 08:00

Prediction: Arda Azkara vs Thomas Drayton

Team pages: Arda Azkara · Thomas Drayton

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Arda Azkara Thomas Drayton
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Arda Azkara 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLLWWLW
Thomas Drayton 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arda Azkara 1444 · Thomas Drayton 1476
Arda AzkaraThomas Drayton
Our model45%55%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Arda AzkaraThomas Drayton
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 17% (6) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.50.9-1.2
Games (G-P)10.3-12.49.1-9.5
Aces4.21.3
Double faults3.33.7
1st serve %66.4%66.7%
Break %33.3%32.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arda Azkara

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Fares Zakaria
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 10-18 L
06/09 Stefan Horia Haita
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
12/08 Kristjan Tamm
M15 Turku
1-2 14-17 L
11/08 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Turku
2-0 12-4 W
04/08 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
28/07 Yanki Erel
Challenger Samsun · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
12/07 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/07 Johannus Monday
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Oliver Bonding
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
01/07 Matias Reyniak
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L

Thomas Drayton

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Louis Allen
M15 Baku
2-0 13-6 W
22/09 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Baku
0-2 10-13 L
21/09 Oleg Kolninov
M15 Baku
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Warsaw
0-2 6-12 L
11/08 Filip Kosinski
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/07 Niels Villard
M15 Dublin
0-2 8-12 L
13/07 Iker Urribarrens
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 7-11 L
20/05 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Rayen Hermassi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arda Azkara vs Thomas Drayton?

Our model gives 69% to Arda Azkara, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.