Tennis · M15 Baku · 02/10, 08:00

Prediction: Marcus Walters vs James Connel

Team pages: Marcus Walters · James Connel

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Marcus Walters James Connel
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Marcus Walters 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLWLLLLW
James Connel 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marcus Walters 1475 · James Connel 1504
Marcus WaltersJames Connel
Our model46%54%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Marcus WaltersJames Connel
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41-1.1
Games (G-P)10.4-1210.1-10
Aces5.42.4
Double faults2.92.3
1st serve %69.9%66.8%
Break %20.4%37.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marcus Walters

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Evangelos Kypriotis
M15 Baku
2-1 13-9 W
24/09 Digvijay Pratap Singh
M15 Baku
0-2 9-13 L
23/09 Volodymyr Iakubenko
M15 Baku
2-1 19-16 W
23/08 Millen Hurrion
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/08 Peter Makk
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
16/08 Matt Ponchet
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
11/08 Oscar Weightman
M15 Turku
0-2 6-13 L
06/08 Lui Maxted
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
04/08 Oliver Page
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
29/07 Ali Habib
M25 Aldershot
0-2 5-12 L

James Connel

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Nicolas Jadoun
M15 Baku
2-0 13-8 W
29/09 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Baku
2-0 12-3 W
24/09 Arvid Nordquist
M15 Baku
0-2 12-14 L
23/09 Louis Larue
M15 Baku
2-0 12-8 W
17/09 Damien Salvestre
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 Ali Yazdani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
10/09 Kasra Rahmani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
09/09 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
13/05 Christian Langmo
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/05 Nick Hardt
M15 Orange Park · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marcus Walters vs James Connel?

Our model gives 63% to James Connel, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.